Integrating shared autonomous vehicle in public transportation system: A supply-side simulation of the first-mile service in Singapore

This paper proposes and simulates an integrated autonomous vehicle (AV) and public transportation (PT) system. After discussing the attributes of and the interaction among the prospective stakeholders in the system, we identify opportunities for synergy between AVs and the PT system based on Singapore’s organizational structure and demand characteristics. Envisioning an integrated system in the context of the first-mile problem during morning peak hours, we propose to preserve high demand bus routes while repurposing low-demand bus routes and using shared AVs as an alternative. An agent-based supply-side simulation is built to assess the performance of the proposed service in fifty-two scenarios with different fleet sizes and ridesharing preferences. Under a set of assumptions on AV operation costs and dispatching algorithms, the results show that the integrated system has the potential of enhancing service quality, occupying fewer road resources, being financially sustainable, and utilizing bus services more efficiently.

Shen, Y., Zhang, H., Zhao, J. (2018) Integrating shared autonomous vehicle in public transportation system: A supply-side simulation of the first-mile service in Singapore. Transportation Research Part A. Vol. 113 Pp. 125-136.

Impact of built environment on first- and last-mile travel mode choice

The paper studies the impacts of built environment (BE) on the first- and last-mile travel modal choice. We select Singapore as a case study. The data incorporated for this work is extracted from the first- and last-mile trips to mass rapid transit (MRT) stations in the Household Interview Travel Survey of Singapore in 2012 with nearly 24 thousand samples. The BE indicators are quantified based on four “D” variables—Density, Diversity, Design, and Distance to transit. We also take into account sociodemographic and trip-specific variables. Mixed logit (ML) modelling frameworks are adopted to estimate the impact of BE and the heterogeneity of taste across the sample. Based on the availability of light rail transit (LRT) in different areas, two modeling structures are implemented with binary ML models for non-LRT areas where walk and bus are the available travel modes, and multinomial ML models for areas where LRT is an additional alternative. The modeling results shed light on the following findings: BE—especially the distance to MRT stations, transportation infrastructures, land-use mix and socioeconomic activities—significantly influences the first- and last-mile travel behaviors. For those who live or work close to MRT stations and in an area with high socioeconomic activities and land-use mix, they may have stronger preferences on walk for the first- and last-mile trips. The impact of physical BE (i.e. distance, infrastructures) is relatively homogeneous among the sample. While the impact of socioeconomic BE factors (i.e. floor space density, entropy) tend to vary across the sample.

Mo, B., Shen, Y. & Zhao, J. (forthcoming) Impact of built environment on first- and last-mile travel mode choice. Transportation Research Record. In Publishing.

Understanding the usage of dockless bike sharing in Singapore

A new generation of bike-sharing services without docking stations is currently revolutionizing the traditional bike-sharing market as it dramatically expands around the world. This study aims at understanding the usage of new dockless bike-sharing services through the lens of Singapore’s prevalent service. We collected the GPS data of all dockless bikes from one of the largest bike sharing operators in Singapore for nine consecutive days, for a total of over 14 million records. We adopted spatial autoregressive models to analyze the spatiotemporal patterns of bike usage during the study period. The models explored the impact of bike fleet size, surrounding built environment, access to public transportation, bicycle infrastructure, and weather conditions on the usage of dockless bikes. Larger bike fleet is associated with higher usage but with diminishing marginal impact. In addition, high land use mixtures, easy access to public transportation, more supportive cycling facilities, and free-ride promotions positively impact the usage of dockless bikes. The negative influence of rainfall and high temperatures on bike utilization is also exhibited. The study also offered some guidance to urban planners, policy makers, and transportation practitioners who wish to promote bike-sharing service while ensuring its sustainability.

Shen, Y., Zhang, X. & Zhao, J. (2018) Understanding the usage of dockless bike sharing in Singapore. International Journal of Sustainable Transportation. DOI: 10.1080/15568318.2018.1429696. Ahead of Print.

From accessibility improvement to land development: a comparative study on the impacts of Madrid-Seville high-speed rail

Shen, Y., Zhao, J., de Abreu e Silva, J., Martínez, L.M., 2017. From accessibility improvement to land development: A comparative study on the impacts of Madrid-Seville high-speed rail. Transportation Letters. Vol. 9(4). Pp. 187-201.

Capacity constrained accessibility of high-speed rail

This paper proposes an enhanced measure of accessibility that explicitly considers circumstances in which the capacity of the transport infrastructure is limited. Under these circumstances, passengers may suffer longer waiting times, resulting in the delay or cancellation of trips. Without considering capacity constraints, the standard measure overestimates the accessibility contribution of transport infrastructure. We estimate the expected waiting time and the probability of forgoing trips based on the M/GB/1 type of queuing and discrete-event simulation, and formally incorporate the impacts of capacity constraints into a new measure: capacity constrained accessibility (CCA). To illustrate the differences between CCA and standard measures of accessibility, this paper estimates the accessibility change in the Beijing–Tianjin corridor due to the Beijing–Tianjin intercity high-speed railway (BTIHSR). We simulate and compare the CCA and standard measures in five queuing scenarios with varying demand patterns and service headway assumptions. The results show that (1) under low system loads condition, CCA is compatible with and absorbs the standard measure as a special case; (2) when demand increases and approaches capacity, CCA declines significantly; in two quasi-real scenarios, the standard measure overestimates the accessibility improvement by 14–30 % relative to the CCA; and (3) under the scenario with very high demand and an unreliable timetable, the CCA is almost reduced to the pre-BTIHSR level. Because the new CCA measure effectively incorporates the impact of capacity constraints, it is responsive to different arrival rules, service distributions, and system loads, and therefore provides a more realistic representation of accessibility change than the standard measure.

Shen, Y., Zhao, J., 2017. Capacity constrained accessibility of high-speed rail. Transportation. Vol. 44(2), Pp. 395–422.